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Forecasting the National Economy Taking into Account the Possible Impact of Negative Factors

Sectoral economics and government regulation , UDC: 330.3+338.27 DOI: 10.25688/2312-6647.2019.22.4.2

Authors

  • Marshova Tatiana Nikolaevna PhD (Economics), Associate Professor

Annotation

Approaches to the construction of a multilevel multifunctional forecasting system of the economy, capable of taking into account the influence of negative factors of different nature, are proposed. It is shown that in order to develop and improve the methodology and methods of extreme forecasting, there is a need for a significant correction of statistical support for forecast calculations, significant changes at the stage of scenario scenario development. The main principles of development of the corresponding model tools are considered.
Tags:
Extreme conditions , Forecasting , Influence of negative factors , Methods and models of forecasting. , The national economy
References
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